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FINANCIAL THOUGHT LEADER JAMES GRANT ON THE INVESTMENT RAMIFICATIONS OF THE NEW ERA OF HIGHER INTEREST RATES

Part 1 of 2

James Grant, Founder and Editor of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer, joins us to discuss the history of bond market cycles and why the dramatic rise in interest rates that began in March of last year might have ushered in a prolonged bear market in bonds.

Grant argues that bond yields have trended in generation-length periods, with each cycle lasting at least 20 years. He believes that the bull market in bonds that began in the early 1980s has now come to an end, and that we are now embarking on a long-term period of rising interest rates.

Grant’s perspective is important because he has been warning of a bond bear market for many years. He has argued that the central banks’ aggressive monetary stimulus policies have created a bubble in the bond market and that this bubble is now bursting.

WEALTHTRACK Episode #2020 broadcast on November 10, 2023

Listen to the audio-only version here:

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JAMES GRANT

  • Founder & Editor, Grant’s Interest Rate Observer
  • Award-Winning Financial Journalist & Historian 

ACTION POINT

TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE INTEREST-ON-INTEREST

  • Interest-on-interest: returns from reinvesting semiannual coupon income from bonds
  • Bonds now paying decent interest rates.
  • The power of reinvesting them and compounding their returns adds up.

BOOKSHELF

The Forgotten Depression: 1921: The Crash That Cured Itself
Money of the Mind: How the 1980s Got That Way
The Trouble With Prosperity: The Loss of Fear, the Rise of Speculation, and the Risk to American Savings
Bagehot: The Life and Times of the Greatest Victorian
Inside the Yield Book: The Classic That Created the Science of Bond Analysis
A History of Interest Rates, Fourth Edition

ONE INVESTMENT

INTEREST OPPORTUNITY

  • Compound higher interest rate payments 
  • Reinvest interest-on-interest
  • Higher rates mean higher returns for savers.  

 


FROM THE ARCHIVES

James Grant from the WEALTHTRACK Archives…

Bruce Berkowitz from the Archives

WEB EXTRA

DINNER CONVERSATION

Some 40 years ago, Grant’s Interest Rate Observer was created over dinner at the baronial Oak Room at New York’s Plaza Hotel.  

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