• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer
WealthTrack

WealthTrack

The right track to your financial health.

  • WATCH WEALTHTRACK
    • RECENT PROGRAMS
    • PODCASTS
    • STATION FINDER
  • WEB FEATURES
    • PODCASTS
    • SOCIAL NETWORKING
    • NEWSLETTER
  • WEALTHTRACK WOMEN
  • ABOUT
    • ABOUT CONSUELO
    • CONTACT US
    • NEWSLETTER
    • STATION FINDER

DAVID ROSENBERG

David Rosenberg

On this week’s Consuelo Mack WealthTrack: one of the few economists to foresee the global economic slowdown. Gluskin Sheff’s David Rosenberg saw signs of trouble as chief economist at Merrill Lynch. Now back in his native Canada at Gluskin Sheff he continues to warn about a prolonged slump with high unemployment in the developed world. He tells Consuelo what it means for investors and where to find growth despite a stagnant U.S. and Europe.


WEALTHTRACK Episode #0820; Originally Broadcast on November 11, 2011

Listen to the audio only version here:
David Rosenberg

Explore This Episode

We have compiled additional information and content related to this episode.


DAVID ROSENBERG

Chief Economist and Strategist



Gluskin Sheff

Consuelo Mack
“Now It’s Italy”- that’s the title of a series of telling handouts from independent research firm, Bianco Research, as the ten-year bonds of the world’s fourth largest borrower surged to nearly 7.25% on Wednesday, an astonishing 5-1/2 percentage points above Germany’s equivalent bond. Of course on any number of yesterdays, it could have been “now it’s Greece.” Tomorrow it could be “now it’s Spain.” It’s nigh impossible to keep track of the Euro Zone developments roiling the bond and stock markets. We got a respite today with a measly 0.9% gain in the S&P 500, following yesterday’s nearly 4% decline. Call it one step forward and three steps back

As this week’s WealthTrack guest, Dave Rosenberg reminds us, “how many monetary unions have ever worked?” He takes us back to the East African Monetary Union and the Scandinavian Monetary Union of over a century ago- neither one remembered “because they don’t exist anymore.” As he points out “the only monetary union that works is the United States.” And we fought a war to preserve it.

Are we in a depression? That is another question being raised by this week’s Financial Thought Leader guest. In a recent special report titled “Not Your Father’s Cycle, But Maybe Your Grandfather’s (great grandfather?)”, economist Rosenberg notes that “an economic depression occurs only once it becomes painfully obvious that the markets and the economy are failing to respond to repeated bouts of policy stimulus.”

How are we doing after three years of repeated and, in some cases, record amounts of fiscal and monetary stimulus? Not great. As Rosenberg points out, “no major economic indicator from employment to GDP to industrial production to real incomes has managed to get back to their prior cycle highs in late 2007.” Those are the unfortunate facts as are some other indicators Rosenberg is tracking, including home sales which are much lower than they were in late 2009; the S&P 500, which is at the same level it was more than a decade ago; and ten year’s worth of zero employment growth. The latest read on home prices shows they fell in nearly three-quarters of metropolitan areas in the third quarter.

The vast majority of economists disagree with Rosenberg’s dire assessment, but increasing numbers of them, including those at the Federal Reserve are lowering their forecasts and predicting several more years of slow economic growth, low interest rates and uncomfortably high unemployment. In other words, the world is just starting to catch up to Rosenberg’s long time predictions.

David Rosenberg is the chief economist and strategist of Toronto-based investment firm Gluskin Sheff. For years, Rosenberg was the influential chief North American economist at Merrill Lynch, where Institutional Investor magazine placed him on their coveted “All American All Star Team” from 2005-2008. His daily “Breakfast with Dave” report is a must read among his many fans. Rosenberg is known for being years ahead of the pack in spotting the housing and credit bubbles and predicting the serious and prolonged damage they would inflict on the U.S. and world economy and markets. But a depression? One of the topics we will talk about is why he is using the “D” word.

If you can’t watch this week’s episode on television, you can always watch it by going to our website. It will be available starting Sunday, or Monday morning at the latest.
If you want to see our WealthTrack episodes ahead of the rest of the pack, you can do so by becoming a subscriber to advance showings of WealthTrack. Click here to sign up.

For those of you following my occasional Twitter, under my name ConsueloMack, I will be tweeting tomorrow. For those of you active on Facebook, you can contact us on our Consuelo Mack WealthTrack page.

As always, make the week ahead a profitable and a productive one.

Best regards,

Consuelo
Mathews Asia

No Action Point details available for this episode.

No Bookshelf titles available for this episode.

No One Investment details available for this episode.

No Stock mention details available for this episode.

This transcript is available here.



You can also purchase and download this transcript safely and securely with your credit card or PayPal account for $4.99. You will need the free Adobe Acrobat Reader (Mac/Win) or Preview (Mac) to view and print the transcript.


[post-content id=02321 show_title=”true” show_date=”true” show_excerpt=”true” show_image=”true” ]


No WEB EXTRA available for this episode.

Primary Sidebar

Our Sponsors










Get the weekly newsletter from Consuelo Mack

WEALTHTRACK IS PRESENTED BY

discover

Footer

    • RECENT PROGRAMS
    • WEB EXTRA
    • PODCASTS
    • STATION FINDER
    • WEALTHTRACK WOMEN
    • WEB EXTRA
    • PODCASTS
    • SOCIAL NETWORKING
    • NEWSLETTER

 

Subscribe via RSS Feed Follow Me on Twitter Connect on Facebook

    • ABOUT CONSUELO
    • CONTACT US
    • NEWSLETTER
    • STATION FINDER

© 2025 MackTrack, Inc. All rights reserved.