Special Series
Robert Kessler
Sticking with a Fixed Income Strategy, A Contrarian View
Three years into an economic recovery, it sure doesn’t feel like one. We are even beginning to hear the dreaded “R” for recession word here in the U.S. A recent headline in the Financial Times read: “Blue-Chips Raise Recession Fears.” The FT reported that “estimates of revenue growth for the largest us companies are being scaled back sharply by Wall Street analysts, signaling a mounting risk that the world’s largest economy may enter recession later this year.”
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David Rosenberg: Financial Thought Leader
Financial Thought Leader
This week, we are sitting down for an in-depth interview with one of the handful of prognosticators who has gotten it right going into and through the rolling global financial crisis we are experiencing to this day. He is Financial Thought Leader David Rosenberg, chief economist and strategist at Toronto-based wealth management firm Gluskin Sheff. Dave returned to his native Canada in 2009 after spending many years as Chief North American Economist at Merrill Lynch, where Institutional Investor magazine placed him on their coveted “All American All Star Team” from 2005-2008.
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David Rosenberg
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DAVID ROSENBERG
Chief Economist and Strategist
Gluskin Sheff
This week, through minutes released from the Federal Reserve’s June policy meeting, we learned that Fed officials are growing increasingly concerned about the nation’s growth, European risks and a more pronounced slowdown in China. So are investors. As of Thursday’s close, the Dow and the S&P 500 were experiencing a six session losing streak, the longest in nearly two months. According to Bloomberg, analysts estimate profits for S&P 500 companies fell 1.8% in the second quarter, the first decline since 2009.
U.S. Treasury securities on the other hand are benefiting from a global aversion to risk. The government auctioned both 10-year notes and 30-year bonds at record low borrowing costs this week. The so-called long bond offered a yield of 2.58% at today’s sale.
These developments are just what this week’s guest has been predicting for years now. We are sitting down for an in-depth interview with one of the handful of prognosticators who has gotten it right going into and through the rolling global financial crisis we are experiencing to this day.
He is Financial Thought Leader David Rosenberg, Chief Economist and Strategist at Toronto-based, wealth management firm Gluskin Sheff. Dave returned to his native Canada in 2009 after spending many years as Chief North American Economist at Merrill Lynch, where Institutional Investor magazine placed him on their coveted “All American All Star Team” from 2005-2008.
Rosenberg took on the bullish Wall Street herd as early as 2004 when he started warning about the developing housing and credit bubble which, as he predicted throughout, would wreak havoc on the financial system and many world economies. He hit the nail on the head again last year forecasting the global economy would slow and that Treasury bond yields would fall, another homerun. In his influential and widely read daily “Breakfast with Dave” reports he ranges across the globe covering everything from Europe to the BRICs, to the U.S. presidential campaign and everything of financial import in between.
What does Dave Rosenberg see in his crystal ball now and why did he write in a recent report that “the future is brighter than you think”? I will ask him, starting with the most important patterns he sees in the economy and markets.
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Have a great weekend and make the week ahead a profitable and a productive one!
Best regards,
Consuelo
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DAVID ROSENBERG
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